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Predictive Analytics Concept · Product vision

See delinquency, renewals, and portfolio risk before they surface.

Machine-learning models on top of the HSI decision layer — forecasting 30/60/90-day delinquency, renewal probability, turnover risk, and portfolio-level heat maps you can act on early.

Concept · Product vision
stabilitylogic.com/app/predictive
Delinquency forecast · 90 days
2.1% ± 0.4
Model v3.1
↑ Grey band = 90% CI · lower is better
Renewal probability · top 8 units
Oakwood 204
92%
Ridge 301
88%
Oakwood 118
74%
Ridge 214
66%
Ridge 402
61%
Oakwood 306
58%
Ridge 108
47%
Ridge 220
32%
Portfolio risk heat · 6 buildings × 4 quarters
darker = higher risk
1.0
1.5
2.0
3.5
1.0
2.0
2.8
4.0
1.5
2.2
3.0
5.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.5
2.0
3.5
4.5
6.0
2.5
3.8
5.0
6.8
Concept · Product vision
stabilitylogic.com/app/executive
Occupancy
94.6%
+1.2 pts MoM
NOI · YTD
$4.82M
+8.4% YoY
Vacancy
5.4%
−0.9 pts MoM
Delinquency risk
2.1%
−0.4 pts
NOI · 12 months
+8.4% YoY
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Applicant pipeline
Conversion · 22% lead→lease
Portfolio · risk heat

Portfolio-level intelligence is where behavior-first scoring compounds. When every applicant has a defensible HSI score and every lease has a payment history feed, the analytics layer above it can forecast risk with signal traditional credit-only screening never surfaces. Concept stage — production build sits behind the CRM.

What it does

Capabilities.

Vision

Delinquency forecast · 90 days

Probabilistic forecast of first-payment-missed events with 90% confidence intervals, broken down by property and cohort.

Vision

Renewal probability

Per-lease renewal likelihood scored 12–90 days before term expiration — driving proactive outreach and retention offers.

Vision

Turnover prediction

Which tenants are most likely to move on — separated from delinquency risk. Retention and re-leasing become two different playbooks.

Vision

Portfolio heat map

Property × quarter risk grid. Surface concentration risk before it becomes a distressed unit.

Vision

Executive dashboard

Occupancy, NOI, vacancy, delinquency, applicant pipeline, and conversion in one view designed for portfolio principals.

Vision

ML insights

Model-driven callouts ("delinquency risk elevated in Q3 for Building A") with the underlying feature attribution surfaced explicitly.

Why it's different

Built for enterprise operators.

Built on the HSI feature set

Predictive models inherit HSI's category features and audit trail — so forecasts are explainable, not black-box.

Fair-housing aware

No protected-class variables enter any model. Every forecast can be audited for disparate-impact risk.

Actionable, not vanity

Every metric ships with a suggested next action — no dashboard graveyards.

Roadmap

Where this is going.

Dates are directional. Enterprise pilot partners shape the sequencing.

Now
  • Feature engineering on live HSI data
  • Baseline delinquency models
Q3 2026
  • Delinquency forecast v1
  • Renewal probability v1
  • Executive dashboard MVP
Q4 2026
  • Portfolio heat maps
  • Turnover prediction
  • Alerting webhooks
2027
  • Cohort behavior model
  • Insurance risk overlay
  • Financial forecasting
Ready to move forward?

Run this against your live portfolio.

Enterprise pilots include a backtest on your historical applicants, a signed DPA, and a dedicated integration engineer.